Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts

Sunday, February 1, 2015

Super Bowl picks

Here we are the last game of the season. Loren's already list but he'll still have a chance to lose again!


Derek - Seattle. They're D is playing great and I'm not going to make the same mistake I did last year. 
Loren- Patriots. They don't turn the ball over much, even the deflated ones. It's so hard to make it back to the Super Bowl, much less repeat as victors. History isn't on the side of the Seahawks. 


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Sunday, January 18, 2015

NFL Conference Champtionships

Loren went 3-1 while I went 2-2 last week as my upset pick of the Ravens failed to hold two different 14 point leads. I'm up 58-39-1 why Loren trails at 51-46-1.

Green Bay at Seattle.
Derek - Green Bay. I'd like to pick one upset as I don't see both #1 seeds making it to the Super Bowl but perhaps that's a too large wold view. And yes I no Rodgers is limping around and Seattle has the best D since Seattle's D last year, but I have feeling. Of course it's being overtaking by a feeling of..wrongness.
Loren - Seattle. Who wants to play Seattle's D when they're banged up? No one. As long as they can get pressure on Rodgers, this should be a comfortable victory for the Seahawks.

Indianapolis at New England
Derek - New England. This should have been my upset pick, but when a team can win a playoff game with less than 20 yards rushing you know they are doing everything else right.
Loren - New England. Indy didn't look great against Denver and there's no way I'm betting against the Pats at home. We could have a championship pitting the best team of the last decade against the best team last year.


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Friday, January 9, 2015

NFL Divisional round playoffs

Loren and I went 3-1 in the Wild card round of the playoffs. I'm up 56-37-1 why Loren trails at 48-45-1.

Baltimore at New England
Derek - Baltimore. Joe Flacco the greatest post season QB? Ehh sure. But he is 2-1 vs. the Pats in the playoffs and dropped pass away from being 3-0.
Loren – New England. Very few things can convince me to bet against Brady or the Patriots in the playoffs. Baltimore isn’t one of them.

Carolina at Seattle
Derek - Seattle. While the Panthers are playing well they're running into one of the hottest teams across the country. So yeah...
Loren – Seattle. Rested, at home, chip on shoulder, momentum. This might get ugly.

Dallas at Green Bay
Derek - Green Bay. I'm taking the Packers for a long haul. And while the Cowboys are having a good year they're up against one of the best teams in the game.
Loren – Green Bay. Calf-gate! I have inside information that it’s not really a muscle tear. It’s really gout brought on my eating too much cheese. So, gout-riddled Rodgers or doubt-riddled Romo? Frankly, Rodgers could be missing his entire left leg and I’d probably still take Green Bay.

Indianapolis at Denver
Derek - Denver. Taking the home team but Denver is losing that feeling of domination.
Loren – Denver. Revenge, sweet revenge. Luck may end up in the HOF someday, but I’m pretty confident he’ll first have to watch an all-time great pick his team apart. Hey, Manning went through the same thing before putting it all together.


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Saturday, December 6, 2014

NFL Week 14 Picks

Loren and I split our games again for the 3rd week in a row, going 3-3. I'm now up 45-32-1 why Loren trails at 36-41-1.

Baltimore at Miami
Derek - Miami. The Ravens have existed for years as a definsive team for years. They don't let you run on them and Miami likes to run. Problem for the Ravens is that this week and the rest of the regular season is Ngata is out. The Fins should control this one.
Loren - Miami. Both teams are 7-5 and they've both been a bit inconsistent. When in doubt, take the home team.


Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Derek - Pittsburgh. I think the Steelers bounce back from last weeks loss and beat the Bengals on the road. Two great WRs are in this match up and I truch Ben more than the Red Rocket.
Loren - Pittsburgh. You couldn't get me to bet on this game. Cincinnati always has a few games each year that begin to inflate their fans with hope only to have it dashed by the end of the season.


Indianapolis at Cleveland
Derek - Indianapolis. The Colts should walk all over the Browns. Doesn't matter who's playing QB for Cleveland.
Loren - Indianapolis. Only reason I might watch this game is the potential to see Manziel go down in flames. Schadenfreude can be a wonderful thing.


Kansas City at Arizona
Derek - Kansas City. Cards are on a slide and while a good team they are not the "best record" in the leauge kinda team.
Loren - Arizona. None of KC's strengths play into the Cardinals' weaknesses.


Seattle at Philadelphia
Derek - Philadelphia. Yeah not sure about this one. The travel and the up and down season are swaying me here.

Loren - Philadelphia. Am I really picking Sanchez against a good defense? I guess so.

New England at San Diego
Derek - New England. Normally I don't like teams traveling across counrty but the Pats made the trip last week after the Packer game. So that shouldn't be a problem. They also won't lose 2 in a row.Loren - San Diego. That's a really long trip to take. All things being equal, I definitely taken NE. But SD is no slouch and is playing to remain in the division lead hunt.


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Wednesday, November 26, 2014

NFL Week 13 picks

Loren and I split our games last week again, going 3-3. This week we're picking all three Thanksgivign games. I'm now up 42-29-1 why Loren trails at 33-38-1.
 
Chicago at Detroit
Derek - Detroit. While Detroit isn't a dominate team I can't go with Cutler right now. He's way too up an down, and more down recently.
Loren – Detroit. Chicago can’t beat good teams but have won their last two games. Detroit can’t beat good team and have lost their last two games. So…home team?

Philadelphia at Dallas
Derek - Dallas. I think you beat the Eagles by running the ball. Having the leagues leading rusher in Murray should be a good start.
Loren – Philadelphia. The point differential between these two teams is staggering and you know Kelly would like to go into Dallas and run the Cowboys out of the building. Plus, another excuse to pick against Dallas. Ugh, Dallas.

Seattle at San Francisco
Derek - Seattle. I'm not a fan of what I see out of the 49ers recently. I think Seattle will be able to move the ball on offense and control the game.
Loren – San Francisco. I’m not sold on Seattle at all. Seattle’s inconsistencies are less easily explained than the 49ers’ whose problems have stemmed primarily from injuries. While not fully healthy, they’re better off than the last few weeks.

New Orleans at Pittsburgh
Derek - Pittsburgh. The Saints cost me two in a row at home, I'm not picking them or any other NFC South team on the road.
Loren – Pittsburgh. Someone has to win the NFC South, right? Or can we all agree that the conference forfeits their playoff spot this year? Settled.

New England at Green Bay
Derek - New England. I like Green Bay, but the way the Pats are playing, I'm not holding out much hope.
Loren – New England. This should be fun.

Denver at Kansas City
Derek - Denver. Denver is a very good team with some large flaws, but right now they seem to put it together win they need it. Also no one seems to want to gaurd Thomas in the red zone.
Loren – Denver. Did the second half against the Dolphins shake loose the cobwebs for the Broncos? Will CJ Anderson lock down starting back duties with another performance like last week? Will Alex Smith throw a ball further than 6 yards? Hopefully, probably, and no.


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Sunday, November 23, 2014

NFL Week 12 Picks

Loren and I split our games last week going 3-3. This puts me at 39-26-1 why Loren trails at 30-35-1.

Miami at Denver
Derek - Miami. Do I really think Miami will win? No but this is  Derek's team versus Loren's team game and I just have to go with my guys!
Loren – Denver. How different things begin look after the last two weeks. Suddenly there are questions about Denver’s depth and resilience coping with injuries. This week, they get the second best rated defense. Miami’s numbers are skewed by playing Buffalo (twice), Oakland, KC and Jacksonville. On the other hand, they did shut down Brady, Cutler and Rivers. No way to predict this, but Miami’s offense matches up poorly with Denver’s D. I’m taking the home team.

Detroit at New England
Derek - New England.The Pats are just chewing through people right now and I don't see that stopping for awhile. Probably the playoffs.
Loren – New England. Detroit has a puncher’s chance and a great ground defense. But the Pats don’t lose at home and have too many offensive dimensions.

Cincinnati at Houston
Derek - Houston. I think the Houston D will have a decent day against the up and doooowwwwnnnnn Andy Dolton.

Loren – Houston. Seems like I just can’t get a Cincy game right this year. So you should expect them to win by 40.

Arizona at Seattle
Derek - Seattle. I'm going with the home team here. Arizona has been playing well enough to win games but I think they'll split the season sereies with the home team each winning one.
Loren – Seattle. With Palmer in there for consistency, I’d have taken Arizona. Probably time for him to hang up the cleats while he can still walk.

Dallas at New York Giants
Derek - Dallas. The Cowboys will run the ball 35+ times and control this game from the begining.
Loren – Giants. Whatever. I’m not taking Dallas.

Baltimore at New Orleans
Derek - New Orleans. Won't take the Saints if they're on the road anymore but they're at home for this one and the Raven, while a quality team won't handle Graham.
Loren – New Orleans. Everyone thought they were back. This could be the most inconsistent frustrating year for gamblers. Seriously, there have to be a lot of desperate dudes in over their heads this year. Why New Orleans? Why not?

 


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Sunday, November 2, 2014

NFL Week 9 Picks

Now we're seeing the better picker seperate. I went 5-1 last week while Loren went 1-5. This puts me at 26-21-1 why Loren trails by a game at 21-26-1.
 
San Diego at Miami
Derek - Miami. Both of these teams seem to be up and down, but the Dolphins are always good for a win at home against a decent west coast teams. They won't turn it over as much as they're prone to do and Miller will get over 100 yards and lead them to victory.
Loren - Miami. I was ready to take San Diego until I realized the teams they've beaten are a combined 11-24. San Diego's signature win so far is against 4-3 Seattle at home. Doesn't sound much like a dark horse Super Bowl contender.

Arizona at Dallas
Derek - Arizona. Since Romo's out then the Cowboys will be way too much one diminstional. Murray's been good but already shoulders too much of the load. If your a Dallas fan your hope here is that you walk out of this game healthy.
Loren - Arizona. Having the lone blemish on your record be a loss to Denver isn't such a bad thing. With Romo out, the D-line can stack the box and try to lock down Murray.

Philadelphia at Houston
Derek - Philadelphia. The Eagles should be able to score enough to make Houston throw it and when the QB is a hairy Fitzpatrick that can only be good...for the defense.
Loren - Houston. I still don't know what to expect from the Eagles. Like San Diego, they'e proven they can beat the bad teams. Do they have an extra dimension to call on, a winning spirit to help them in tough games against tough teams? This matchup should help answer that question. Houston plays their best at home and you can bet Foster is looking forward to the sub-par Eagle's D.

St. Louis at San Francisco
Derek - San Francisco. The bye week came at a good time for the 49ers. They can regroup and get a bit healthier. They also get a home game agaisnt a middling Rams team. They should control the ball from the opening kick off.
Loren - San Francisco. With a chance to get healthier through their bye week, San Francisco should come out and blow the doors off St Louis.

Denver at New England
Derek - New England. Yeah no idea, it's in the snow and both teams like to pass...so. I picked agasint Loren's team, that's how I do.
Loren - Denver. Big, big game. Brady and the Pats look back on target and enjoy playing the foil to whatever team Manning is leading. But you still have to consider that the Pats barely beat the Jets and Raiders and have lost to the Dolphins and Chiefs. The Broncos have been more consistent and they have a defense that can actually make a difference in games.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Derek - Pittsburgh. Not sure about this one either, but I've done ok picking agaisnt the Ravens, so I'll keep it up. Brown is a stud at WR and I hope Fat Ben uses him well.
Loren - Baltimore. What a mess the AFC North is. You have a 4-2-1 team at the top of the standings because no one else has been able to put it all together and pull away. Even with the Steeler's offensive output last week, the Ravens have scored more points and allowed far fewer. Have to follow the stats in this one.


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Saturday, October 25, 2014

NFL Week 8 Picks

Loren and I only picked 1 game different last week and it was looking good for me until the Saints gave up two TD's in the last 3 mins. I knew I shouldn't have taken them on the road. This leaves me at 21-20-1 why Loren trails by a game at 20-21-1.

Seattle at Carolina
Derek - Even though this is a cross country trip and the Seahawks look down a bit I'm thinking they bounce back big and take care of an under preforming Panthers team.

Loren - Carolina. Long trip east for an early game and doubts abound for the Seahawks. Seattle's short yardage passing D has been terrible this year. If the home team can control the clock and get a decent day from their defense, Carolina pulls the upset.
 
Baltimore at Cincinnati
 
Derek - Cincinnati. The Bengals have to get going here and I think this is one of those AFC North games where you don't know what's going to happen and are still surprised.
Loren - Baltimore. Are we supposed to be surprised that the Ravens are good this year? Perhaps we just hoped that karma would smack the team from top to bottom. Regardless, Cincy's D isn't going to help. I don't think they're disciplined enough to win a close game.
 
Chicago at New England
 
Derek - New England. The Pats seem to be back, dang it, and look to be one of the better teams int he AFC, darn it, and should be able to beat a very inconsistent Bears team at home. Another ho hum game for the Pats.
Loren - New England. Wouldn't be surprised to see Chicago reinvigorated from their post-game meltdown. Sometimes those episodes have a way of focusing a team. Unfortunately, the Pats are still an elite level team. I wonder what Marshall will do for an encore.
 
Philadelphia at Arizona
Derek - Arizona. This is one where I'm taking the home team on a near cross country trip. Their D is good and the Eagles have yet to get a running game going. I the Cards will handle the Philly O just fine.
Loren - Philadelphia. Coming off a bye week and healthy, I think the Eagle's offense is ready to put on a show.
 
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
Derek - Indianapolis. The Colts are good the Steelers are...who knows, another inconsistent team. But they are dangerous, but not dangerous enough.
Loren - Indianapolis. Denver winning and Dallas losing are the only football related thing that makes me happier than Pittsburgh losing. Also, I need a big game from Luck to help me stay undefeated in Derek's fantasy football league. Isn't that right, Derek?
 
Green Bay at New Orleans
Derek - New Orleans. Again! why am I doing this? Well at least they're at home.
Loren - Green Bay. The Packers are on a roll. They've won four straight and the mess that is the Saints are going to beat them? Not feeling that. Wait, did the Saints replace their entire defense? No? Then Packers it is.


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Sunday, October 19, 2014

NFL Week 7 picks

Another steller week of picks last week. Not. Remeber that? Remember when eveyone said "Not" after they said something obviously untrue. Ahh good times. Anyway I went 2-3-1 (a tie? really?) and Loren when 1-4-1. This leaves me at 17-18-1 why Loren trails by 2 games at 15-20-1.

Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Derek - Indianapolis. The Bengals were looking good this year then dropped the big game to New England. But does that make them a bad team no, but they are without AJ Green and Luck has been playing at an MVP level. Can The Colts D step up? No but they can do enough to keep Cincinnati to 24 points or less.
Loren - Indianapolis. Which good but fatally flawed team emerges victorious? Meh. Unless one of them fixes their weaknesses, there's no light at the end of the tunnel.

New Orleans at Detroit

Derek - New Orleans. Ugh, what am I doing picking any NFC South team on the road? Especcialy the Saints. But they Have Grahm playing and Detroit is without Megatron again. The Saints have to win on the road once this year...right?
Loren - Detroit. Barely beating Tampa last week doesn't fill me with confidence in the Saints' chances.

Carolina at Green Bay

Derek - Green Bay. Carlonia seems to flip flop and the Packers are good but not great. I'll give the advantage to the home team.
Loren - Green Bay. Yet another crap shoot game this week. Neither defense looks up to the task of containing the other team. Could be the most entertaining game of the weekend.

Kansas City at San Diego

Derek - San Diego. The Chargers seem to be the darling of the NFL right now. Lots of love for Rivers and company. And the Chiefs haven't been consitant all year. Until they are I'm going with the Chargers.
Loren - San Diego. Who thought SD would be in first in the AFC West? When firing on all cylinders, the Chiefs can grind out wins. They haven't been firing on any cylinders.

New York Giants at Dallas

Derek - Dallas. Dallas has been rolling, well Murray has been rolling and that seems to be enough. They shouldn't have much problem with the Giants.
Loren - Dallas. If the Giants are going to be relevant, they've got to beat Dallas. Please, for all of us, beat Dallas.

San Francisco at Denver

Derek - Denver. Going with the home team. I don't think Kap will have the same type of game he had last week and their running game isn't as good as it has been in the past.
Loren - Denver. Man, this matchup worries me. Theoretically, SF can slow the game down and keep Denver's offense off. And if Denver doesn't sort out their late game defense, they're going to lose games against good teams.


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Saturday, October 4, 2014

NFL Week 5 picks

Still not a great week for us. But I did go 3-3 while Loren went 1-5. This gives me a 1 game lead for the first time this season. Derek 10-14, Loren 9-15.

Chicago at Carolina
Derek - Carolina. The Panthers and the Bears have had up and down seasons so far. But I think the Panthers offense can handle the Bears D easily at home and score in the high 20's. Forte won't have a good game in this one.
Loren – Chicago. The Panthers are hurt on offense and near the cellar in run defense. On defense, Chicago sits back on routes knowing that Cam has to throw the ball. On offense, they can abuse Carolina’s tackles or get it to Forte in the flat and let him do his thing. If Chicago gets out to an early lead, that just plays even more into their hand.

Atlanta at New York Giants
Derek - New York Giants. What am I doing with this pick? The Giants? Oh wait they're playing a NFC South team at home. Nevermind nuff said. I think the NFC South could combine teams and still not win on the road.
Loren – New York Giants. Don’t bet against Eli on a roll. Both teams should have crazy numbers through the air, but Atlanta’s defense is absolutely putrid. Slight edge there to NY plus factor in playing at home and you can see another confounding loss for the Falcons.

Houston at Dallas
Derek - Dallas. DeMarco Murray has been a machine so far this year. If he can keep it up the Texans have no answer. They don't throw it well and they have to stuff Foster down your throat just to have a chance.
Loren – Dallas. What a difference a running back makes. I’m still not sold on Dallas and if DeMarco Murray goes down, so do the Cowboys. But Romo does a convincing impression of an effective QB when defenses have to bring seven up front or risk getting gouged. Houston has been playing solid, but they’ve also had a cream puff schedule. We’ll see who they really are over the next 5 weeks (Dallas, Indy, Pittsburgh, Philly).

Baltimore at Indianapolis
Derek - Inianapolis. The Colts are rolling right now. Luck might be the top MVP canadate and their D is doing ok. Imagine if they could actually run. Either way they have enough to get past the Ravens.
Loren – Indianapolis. There’s room for Luck to sling the ball against a pretty weak Raven’s secondary. The question is whether Indy’s defense can hold on. They’ve played to good teams and lost, albeit closely. They’ve played two terrible teams and won in blowouts. I give Indy the nod based on home field advantage and not much more.

Kansas City at San Francisco
Derek - San Francisco. I'm going with the home team this time. KC played a hell of a game on Monday night but they won't have an easy of time in the Bay. Still this will be a close one but the 49ers O will previeal.
Loren – San Francisco. What was that talk of a depleted 49ers defense? Well, they’re giving up points, but not giving up yards. It’s early enough in the season for these irregularities to be present, but you’d have to a stingy defense will eventually start keeping teams out of the end zone. A home game against a one dimensional team is just what the doctor ordered.

Cincinnati at New England
Derek - Cincinnati. This would be a game that NE wins but not this year. Are we finally seeing the end of the dynasty? As a Dolphin fan I hope so but as a footbal fan...yeah I still hope so.
Loren – Cincinnati. Quiet, efficient Cincy. They’re not dazzling, they’re not flashy, but they are effective. I almost feel sorry for Brady. Almost.


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Saturday, September 20, 2014

Week 3 NFL Picks

Bad week for both Loren and I. Loren got one game right but I couldn't gain much ground as I got 2 correct. But this does bring me to a tie. Both of us have 6-6 records.

San Diego at Buffalo
Derek - Buffalo. Classic west coast team traveling to the east coast. I think you could make an easy living picking these games stright up. I'm still not sold on Buffalo but I think they're a good defensive team who can control the ball.
Loren – San Diego. Ah, the early part of the season when you have no clue what you’ll get from certain teams. Are the Chargers the team that resoundingly beat the Seahawks last week or the team that couldn’t get anything going against the Cardinals in week 1? Is that one point loss to the Cardinals more impressive now that the Cardinals are now 2-0 with an east coast win? How strong are Buffalo’s wins? For me, I see San Diego as a veteran team less likely to make mistakes, and the Bills have to come back to earth at some point. The Chargers can take advantage of a team that might be suffering from early season inflated hopes.

Green Bay at Detroit
Derek - Green Bay. I think Green Bay just ahs the better team all around but this could go either way...first one to 40?
Loren – Green Bay. Flip a coin and hope for a barn burner.

San Francisco at Arizona
Derek - San Francisco. Who's the starting QB for Arizona? If Vernon Davis is healthy this could be a double digit win. The 49ers D hasn't dropped off as some thought. I'll stick with them...for now.
Loren – San Francisco. Yeah, the Bears made the Niners look silly for a quarter. The Niners were fairly in control up to that point, though, and a bad quarter does not make a season. They’re still a more dynamic team than the Cardinals, even if their defense may have lost some potency.

Denver at Seattle
Derek - Seattle. Forget the Super Bowl, forget the Seahawks D and the Broncos O. This is the best home field advantage in the NFL and the crowd will get to see the home team win another.
Loren – Seattle. Wow, this really pains me. I’d like to think the Broncos learned their lessons about crowd noise and preparation. I’d like to think the Broncos are a stronger team since the last meeting. I’d like to think that Seattle’s going to be full of doubt after being embarrassed by San Diego. What I really think is that Manning won’t be able to audible effectively and they’ll have trouble running consistently. Meantime, Seattle’s going to be looking to bounce back and they just happen to be at home and playing a team they know they can beat. Prove me wrong, Broncos.

Kansas City at Miami
Derek - Miami. Not sure what to expect from either team. This would could be a blow out either way or a close one. I'll be a homer here and pick my team and hope the O can produce more consistant drives.
Loren – Miami. So much is in question for this game. Will Charles play? Can Miller step in and produce with Moreno out? Which QB will give more fuel to the doubters? Could the Dolphins be a more confounding team? When in doubt, take east coast home team, not the visitor with a long trip.

Pittsburgh at Carolina
Derek - Carolina. Can the Panthers repeat last years preformance? Are the Steelers to old and going downhill? I bet on both is yes.
Loren – Carolina. The Panthers’ performance against the Lions was a little more what we expected of them this year. Cam Newton was making plays, the defense was opportunistic, and they didn’t let the opponent off the mat.  They’ll need to establish some kind of running game to keep Newton healthy through the season.


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Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Conferance Champtionship games



Damn you Denver Broncos! One game away from going 8 for 8 in the playoffs. Oh well, I’ll try to get my Super Bowl picks right.

Standings
Derek 75-35
Loren 59-51

San Francisco at Atlanta
Loren – San Francisco. Atlanta has been living on the edge all season, close game after lucky bounce after kind call. It’s time for the luck to run out. I bet against Kaepernick last week and paid for it. Atlanta should be a tougher test for him, but he can still use his legs to extend plays and pick up first downs. No big mistakes and San Francisco plays in the Super Bowl.
Derek – San Francisco. At the beginning of the year I picked Atlanta to play in the Super Bowl, you think I’d feel good about that pick being the #1 seed and hosting the conference championship game…but…well…hmm. Now I’m not sure, we just saw what Seattle was able to do to the Falcons, and I think the 49ers have a better offense. Then again the Falcons just played against a similar styled QB. I think the 49ers will be too explosive on the offensive side of the ball and Vernon Davis will have a field day, heck did you see what Miller, Seattle’s TE did? Oh yeah, how many Oregonians want to see the Jacquizz/LaMichael theme played out in this one?

Baltimore at New England
Loren – New England. Why would we bet against New England now? Yeah, Baltimore showed heart last week. The Pats, though, execute much cleaner than the Broncos. If the Ravens can’t get pressure on Brady, they’re doomed. Baltimore will need a run oriented game, control the clock and limit New England’s opportunities, keep Brady off balance, and play without mistakes. That’s a lot to ask.
Derek – New England. I also picked the Pats to play in the Super Bowl this year and I really don’t see why I’d change it now. I think they can score on the Ravens and hold Ray Rice to a minimal game. Since the Pats have incorporated a faster pace on offense they’ve averaged 13 more positions a game, that’s giving Tom Brady 13 more plays to beat you with.


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Saturday, December 15, 2012

NFL Week 15 picks

A nice 5-1 mark thanks to some heroics puts me 13 a head with only 3 weeks left in the regular season.
Standings
Derek 57-27
Loren 44-30


Denver at Baltimore
Loren - Denver. Baltimore's D just ain't what it used to be. Denver has definitely hit their stride and is fighting for a top 2 playoff seed. Baltimore gives up about 130 ypg on the ground so Denver should let Manning have a relatively easy day and just rotate backs.
Derek – Denver. I see the Ravens struggling on D while the Broncos should be able to score enough against an aging and depleted lineup. Keep Manning up right is the goal of the game for Denver.

Green Bay at Chicago
Loren - Green Bay. Chicago has lost two tough games while Green Bay is 7-1 in their last 8. Packers have the momentum and a game lead in the division. Make it two after Sunday.
Derek – Green Bay. The division is turning around to be what most expected. Green Bay dominating, or at least winning, and the Bears well you know ok.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Loren - New Orleans. I'm not sure I've picked a Bucs game right this year, but you have the worst passing defense going against the second best passing offense. It's just a matter of time until Brees starts picking them apart.
Derek – New Orleans. The Bucs give up a bunch of yards and they’re playing Brees in the Super

Duper Dome? Yeah I’ll go with at least 34 points this week.
NY Giants at Atlanta
Loren - Atlanta. The Giants D isn't doing them any favors, but which team will we see? If they play the way they did against Green Bay and New Orleans, this could be a good match. Unfortunately for them, Atlanta actually plays defense. Given the home field advantage, it's hard to take the Giants.
Derek – Atlanta. I could go either way on this one, both teams have been inconsistent of late so I’ll lean to the home team. A winner of this game will feel much better about themselves moving forward.

Pittsburgh at Dallas
Loren - Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plays great defense. You can just hear Romo shaking in his house, clutching his pearls and shedding a shuddering tear. Pittsburgh forces Romo into mistakes and drives yet another nail into the coffin of Romo's and Garrett's tenure in Dallas.
Derek – Dallas. The Cowboys are playing well as of late. Perhaps they’re lulling me into a sleep before barfing all over their season as per usual. But until then I feel somewhat confident taking them. The Steelers just don’t look that good.

San Francisco at New England
Loren - San Francisco. Upset special! I just like SF's defense and ability to run the ball. Yeah, west coast team traveling east and all that, but the Pats have had trouble against teams playing solid D, and the 49ers are the second best overall defense.
Derek – New England. The 49ers have to travel across the country. They have to slow down the NFL’s best offense. They have to keep up with that offense with a rookie QB. Riiiight. I’ll take Brady.


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Thursday, November 1, 2012

NFL Week 9 Picks

Can you believe the season is half over? Anyway, another 5-1 week for me puts me up 6 games once again. I’m standing tall with a record of 32-16 while Loren is pulling away from the .500 mark with a 26-22 mark.

Miami at Indianapolis
Loren – Miami. Indy is just too inconsistent to afford picking them, even at home. Miami, meanwhile, seems poised to have a mediocre year. This is a vast improvement over what most people thought they would do so, you know, good for them.
Derek – Miami. Both teams are a surprise at this point I’d imagine. I think the Dolphins D will be able to control the game enough to walk away with a win. Think low score here. First one to 20 wins, in fact lets make that 17.

Denver at Cincinnati
Loren – Denver. Wow, Denver looked really sharp in dismantling the Saints. Most people do, though. This will be a much tougher test for them against a decent defense. Denver should still prevail, but this team goes as far as its defense take it. Manning and Co. will take care of business, but can they get consistent run stopping?
Derek – Denver. The Broncos took apart the Saints D and now face another poor D in Cincinnati. Only difference here is the location of the contest and it’s not nearly a big enough difference.

Minnesota at Seattle
Loren – Seattle. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Minnesota takes this one, but I have to go with the home team. If you’re going to beat Seattle’s D, an aerial attack is the way to go. I don’t see the Vikings as likely candidates to safely throw the ball often enough to score points.
Derek – Seattle. Seattle has a great D, they even ratchet it up a notch at home. I don’t expect the Vikings to score more than 10 points and wonder how Ponder will do getting hit every other time he drops back to pass.

Pittsburgh at New York Giants
Loren – New York Giants. The Giants make me nervous every week, but they keep finding a way to win. Once again, I see NY’s D line breaking through to harass the QB. The question is, though, can the Giants take advantage against a really strong defense. In a close game between strong Ds, this could come down to who can hit their field goals. Home team advantage, once again.
Derek – New York Giants. I won’t be surprised by the winner of this game, I can see it going either way in a close one or a blow out. Anything can happen here. Despite the Steelers last game, they haven’t been too consistent this year, while the Giants know how to win, plain and simple.

Dallas at Atlanta
Loren – Atlanta. Every week you have to ask yourself, “Do I trust Romo against X defense.” So, do you trust Romo against Atlanta’s D? Neither do I.
Derek – Atlanta. I’ll be interested to see the Cowboys improved DBs versus Jones and White. The Falcons haven’t relied on the run game much, but haven’t had to. Eventually they’ll lose and this could be that game, but until they do, I’m not going against them.

Philadelphia at New Orleans
Loren – Philadelphia. The Saints have a really tough road the rest of the season. Unfortunately, they shown no signs that their defense is ready to step up. The Eagles have such a balance attack and can score in so many ways, their D just needs to make a play or two to keep this one out of reach.
Derek – New Orleans. I don’t see either teams D slowing the opposition down. But I don’t think the Eagles are that good of offensive team. So I’m going with the team I know can score 30.


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Friday, November 6, 2009

NFL Pick 'em - Week 9

I made up a game last week on Loren, this might be the first week this season that I won. I'm down 8 now and ready to make a comback. Well I hope so anyway. On to the picks!

Baltimore at Cincinnati

Derek – Baltimore. I agree with Loren regarding the Ravens D, however I’ve never been a huge fan of Flacco, I don’t think he’s bad, I just don’t think he’s the bees knees. Anyway Cincy is a nice team, better then most thought they’d be, but they aren’t going to beat the Ravens twice in a year.

Loren - Baltimore. Baltimore’s D is on a mission and feeling good after handing Denver their first loss. Cincinnati is good, but Flacco is getting better every week and the Ravens feel like they have to show the league just how good their team is.

Carolina at New Orleans

Derek – New Orleans. At this point I’m looking for the loss on the Saints schedule, not offensive based team can go undefeated, so it will come and the Panthers could beat them if you gave them a couple more weeks to get together, but the game is this weekend and the Saints will be too much for them.

Loren - New Orleans. Seriously? There’s a question here? Maybe the over/under for the Saints. I’d put the line at 63.

San Diego at NY Giants

Derek – San Diego. I know I know, I’m taking a huge risk here perhaps not even a calculated risk, but I’ve got games to make up. The Chargers are good right? Right? They can travel across country and play a team that as of two weeks ago was the best in the conference? Right?

Loren - Giants. Giants at home, I’ll take’em despite an improved Charger’s offense. The Giants are tough, gritty, and can grind out yards with a variety of backs.

Dallas at Philadelphia

Derek – Philadelphia. They are playing well after their more than head scratching loss to the Raiders. I think the Eagles are the best team in the NFC East right now and I’ll take them over almost any team at home. Especially against a Wade Philipp’s team.

Loren - Dallas. Look, both of these teams are inconsistent and, at times, putrid. I just think that if they played this game 100 times, Dallas would win 51. Not a lot to go on.

Pittsburgh at Denver

Derek – Pittsburgh. Yes I want Loren to pick Denver. Pittsburgh is a good enough team to beat a not so good as their record indicates Broncos team. Oh and Polamalu is back.

Loren - Pittsburgh. As much as I want to pick Denver, there’s too much stacked against them this week. Pittsburgh’s D will harass Denver and lock down the line of scrimmage. Denver doesn’t yet have consistent running to open the field for Orton and keep defenses honest. It will be consecutive losses for the Broncos.


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Saturday, October 10, 2009

NFL Pick 'Em - Week 5

This will be interesting. Neither Derek or I know what each other will be picking this week. I'm not sure I've ever posted without knowing Derek's picks and it just feels like I'm breaking a lucky habit. Wouldn't be surprised to see some bad luck thrown my way with some great games this week. Many of them are too close to feel good picking either way.

Cincinnati at Baltimore

Loren - Baltimore. What a fantastic team they have up in Baltimore. There's consistent positive QB potential from Flacco, an ageless D that has recovered its fire, and the fans are going crazy with it. Too much for the Bengals who have looked decent but inconsistent.

Derek - Baltimore. Some people are pumping Cincinnati up and I can see why, that being said they are not on the same level as the Ravens. I don't think the Bengals will score more than twice in this game and that's not going to be enough.

Atlanta at San Francisco

Loren - Atlanta. The Falcons are physical enough to hang in a game with SF's new found killer D. Matt Ryan looks better every week and is really getting in sync with his targets, plus the Niners are a little banged up and distracted by the Crabtree saga. Oh, and MC Hammer and Deion Sanders will probably be there. Definitely have to go with Atlanta.

Derek - San Francisco. Getting Crabtree will help the 49ers, but not as much as getting Gore back would have, however the Falcons are traveling across country and as any good bookie will tell you it's going to be tough for them to win.

New England at Denver

Loren - Denver. OK, this is where my homer instinct kicks in...and inevitably kicks me right in the nuts. NE has an offense heads and shoulders above what this vaunted Denver D has faced so far. Plus the Pats have a defense far savvier than any Denver's seen. This game will say a lot about where both of these teams really are. The most interesting stat here, though, is that Kyle Orton is 25-12 as a starter. You'd take that from your starting QB.

Derek - New England. This should be a fairly easy game for the Pats. They are a far supieriour team and only need to battle the elements. Oh and Tom Brady is 100-26 as a starter.

NY Jets at Miami

Loren - Jets. Even if Edwards doesn't play this week, the Jets are still the pick here. Miami has no real direction offensively. Just when you think they look dangerous, a new and untested QB. Definitly bad karma to be playing the Jets that week. Not a good week to be Chad Henne.

Derek - Miami. Loren had is homer pick allow me to have mine. Chad Henne went on the road controlled the ball and beat the Bills. Now he has a tougher task but will be at home where the pound it out style of the Dolphins D will where down the Jets. If it's close in the fourth the Fins will win.

Houston at Arizona

Loren - Houston. Houston has to break out some time, right? They get on a 6 game tear and scare the bejeezus out of a lot of teams, right? That offense is surely too talented, right?

Derek - Arizona. Houston does need to break out but it won't be in this game. The Cards are at home and play so much better there than on the road. Look for Warner to find his big targets time and time again against a Houston D that has not lived up to expectations.


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Thursday, September 10, 2009

Annual NFL Pick 'Em Throw Down - 2009 Edition

Hey folks.

Obviously I've been away from the blog for a while, but with some personal stuff out of the way and headed into the NFL and College FB (and soon NBA) seasons, it's time to get back on the horse and share my own brand of sports insanity with you.

To start us off, let's do the first edition of our annual NFL pick 'em contest. No easy start for us, we get right into the tough games. Meaning, of course, we'll probably both go 0 and 5...


My picks follow and I'll update with Derek's soon.


Jacksonville @ Indy


Loren - Indy

My gut says this is likely to be another close, painful game for both sides. These teams really don't like each other and the hits come hard and fast. That said, Indy has had the talent to outplay the Jags and pull out the win more often than not. What scares me here is a potential for Indy to start slow and the Jags to play with something to prove.

Derek – Indy

It’s been hard over the last few years to pick against them. The Jags always play the Colts tough but seem to come up short most of the time. Peyton will show that he is already in midseason form and will lead the home team to victory.


Philly @ Carolina


Loren - Philly

Taking the road team here not because I believe Philly is all that, but because Carolina definitely has more potential to tank than the Eagles do. Don't get me wrong, Carolina could easily have a 12 win superbowl appearance type season, but they could just as easily have a 6 win disappointment type season, too. The Eagles are the safe pick here.


Derek – Carolina

This game could go wither way, both play great D but Philly’s defensive backs are worse this year than last and I think that will open up the passing game enough for the Panthers to control the time of passion resulting in a W.


Chicago @ Green Bay


Loren - Green Bay

The Pack looked good in pre-season, whatever that's worth. But they appear to be a stable team looking to improve upon last season while the Bears are breaking in a new QB, have an underperforming WR corps, and a sophomore RB who won't be catching anyone off guard this year. Chicago's D is better than Green Bay's, but not by as much as you think.

Derek – Chicago
The Bears new QB will have nice weather in GB to throw and Chicago will stop Rodgers in his tracks. I say the Bears D scores a TD and they win by double digits getting the NFC North division off on the right track.


Dallas @ Tampa Bay


Loren - Dallas
It's not time for the Cowboys to crumble under the pressure. We'll have to wait until about week 9. Even so, they are likely a playoff team (with a first round exit). Not a hard call here.


Derek - Dallas

I have to agree with Loren, Dallas starts out well and then fades. They will be a trending pick halfway through the season but will melt down towards the end. That being said Tampa Bay could be in for a long long season, it’s gong to be tough to score points for them.


Miami @ Atlanta


Loren - Atlanta

The Falcons didn't lose much in the off season but did get an (aged) upgrade at TE to help make sure Matt Ryan doesn't have a sophomore slump. But looking at Miami's schedule, you have to think they believe this is their best shot for a win in their first three brutal games (@Atlanta, Indy, @Sand Diego). I expect them to pull out all the stops, trick plays and all, to stay in this game. I also expect that it won't be enough.

Derek – Atlanta
Miami is my team but I have a feeling that this year is going to be rough, if this game was in Miami I would pick them, but it’s inside and I don’t see the Fins DB’s holding their own against Ryan.


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