Sunday, November 13, 2011

NFL week 10 picks

Can you believe it's already week 10 of the NFL season? Last week I took one game from Loren so I'm only down one now. Loren sits at a 33-21 record and I'm right there with a 32-22 record.

Tennessee at Carolina

Loren Carolina. Just don't like this match-up on the road while Tennessee has failed to get their running game going. Cam might have a big day through the air and on the ground, if Williams or Stewart don't beat him to it.
Derek – Carolina. This game could go either way. But I'm gong to lean towards the home team. You'd think that CJ would get it going at some point but until I see it I can't put too much faith in him.

Houston at Tampa Bay
Loren – Houston. Too many weapons against a defense the plays well in their scheme but isn't nearly as fearsome as it once was. The big wild card here is Blount. If the Bucs can get a good game from him and win time of possession, they may pull out a squeaker.
Derek - Houston. Another game that looks close but won't be by the end. Freeman has disappointed with turnovers this year compared to last year and while the Texans don't have Johnson they have Foster and you can't give him extra opportunities.

Denver at Kansas City
Loren – Denver. Halfway through last week's game against the Raiders, as the moronic Oakland fans, being the ever so creative types they are, were chanting Tebow Sucks, I realized it was time to root not just for the Broncos, but for Tebow as well. Yeah, he may not be the QB of the future, and asking your QB to run the option in the NFL is a gimmick, but if it's your best chance to win games now, so what? It's entertaining, and we beat the snot out of the Raiders. I can't ask for much more. Maybe they'll keep it rolling in KC as the Chief's defense tries to figure out a game plan.
Derek – Kansas City. KC has to be the most up and down team of the season so far. They started 0-3 then won 4 straight only to lose last week to the win-less Dolphins hurting their Andrew Luck chances. Not only losing but getting smashed 31-3. What team will show up? I'm thinking one that can stop the run.

New Orleans at Atlanta
Loren – Atlanta. I'm justifiably terrified of the Saints O in this match-up. However, they won't be able to put up 62 against the Falcons' D, and they are missing a number of key players on their own D. They are going to have huge match-up problems in their secondary with inexperienced backs covering big WRs in Julio Jones and Roddy White, guys who know how to use their size. The Falcons are going to throw a lot, get up early, and let their running attack bleed the clock.
Derek – New Orleans. This may be the one game I WANT to see this week. I'm hoping for a huge shootout and I thin the Saints are the team that can out shoot the Falcons. X factor here is Sproles, did that guy find the perfect system for his talents or what?

NY Giants at San Francisco
Loren – San Francisco. The Giants are quietly (if a NY team can ever do anything quietly) playing better than a lot of people expected, and now look like the favorites to take the NFC East. Unfortunately for them, they have no chance to run on SF. The 49ers know this and will alternately drop extra men into coverage or blitz the hell out of Eli. The Giants will have to be extra lucky to take this one on the road.
Derek – San Francisco. The Giants are playing well enough to beat any team. But when traveling across the country teams have huge issues, and they are playing one of the better teams in the league, I have a bad feeling about Manning this week and I think I see some INT's in his future.

New England at NY Jets
Loren – New England. Plain and simple, I don't think the Pats drop three in a row. They are too talented and coached too well. They know the importance of taking this game and, with it, almost all hope the Jets have of a division title. The Pat's running game is weak at best, but if anyone can pass against the Jets, it's Tom Brady.
Derek – New England. Three game losing streak for the Pats? Don't think so. Big rivalry game and the Pats own the Jets in the regular season.

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