Thursday, November 17, 2011

NFL Week 11 Picks

Loren and I split last week so I still stand 1 behind. Our records now total Loren with 37-23 and I have 36-24.

NY Jets @ Denver
Loren – Denver. Derek and I are both making homer picks this week and, frankly, he probably has the better chance for a victory. The Broncos have found a way to confuse teams and play into Tebow’s strength, but it’s only a matter of time before defensive coordinators figure out the scheme. This week, I like the Broncos playing at home at high altitude, the Jets coming off a stinging loss, and Denver’s renewed hard-hitting defense.
Derek – NY Jets. You can't argue with success and since I can't argue I won't say anything about Tebow. But I can talk about the Jets, they are becoming a desperate team and we'll see how they react with their backs against a wall, they should have enough speed to contain the Broncos rushing attack.

Jacksonville @ Cleveland
Loren – Jacksonville. This is a hard game to pick, but it comes down to MJD. Cleveland has given up whole countries worth of ground to opposing running backs, 140 YPG and 4.4 YPC. This defense is beaten down and the Jags aren’t about to deviate from the formula for victory against this team.
Derek – Cleveland. This game should be a low scoring game and while the Browns have had injuries they should be solid now with the players they have already getting PT. It's a home game and they should win by a FG.

Buffalo @ Miami
Loren – Buffalo. Buffalo’s D isn’t going to give up the same kind of yards and points to Miami as they did to Dallas and the Jets. Miami also isn’t the kind of team I would bank on having a 3 game win streak. Their two previous wins are against KC and Washington. Buffalo, KC, Washington...one of these things is not like the other. Buffalo gets back on track this week with a convincing win.
Derek – Miami. Was that Bills hot start and aberration? Did the Bills give a large chunk of change to a QB with limited success, do the Dolphins know how to stop the run and how to use Reggie Bush? The answer to all that is yes.


Seattle @ St Louis
Loren – St Louis. With Bradford finally behind center, more holes will open up for Steven Jackson. In turn, Brandon Lloyd should also have more room to operate. Additionally, I just don’t trust the Seahawks to play as mistake free as they need to on the road.
Derek – Seattle. The last time the Seahawks won in St. Louis they walked away with a 7-9 record and a division title. Pete knows how to get players to play just right and if you saw how they rushed against the Ravens last week they shouldn't have a problem against the Rams.

Philadelphia @ NY Giants
Loren – NY Giants. What must it be like in the heads of the Eagles’ players right now? They can’t be certain, week to week, which team will show up, Jekyll or Hyde. Their worst loss of the season came against the Giants in week three, so that has to be weighing on them, too. If you can’t take care of business against Arizona, I’m certainly not picking you on the road against a team that already trounced you.
Derek – NY Giants. The demise of the Eagles continues, this has to be the biggest disappointment of the year besides the Colts. Vick might not play and probably shouldn't. I'm not taking Vince Young to be the Giants at home.

San Diego @ Chicago
Loren – Chicago. Congratulations, Philip Rivers, you just made the list of players I will never fantasy draft in the first five rounds. You join the ranks of Reggie Bush, Knowshon Moreno, Jay Cutler, and Joe Flacco. Now, please throw more tantrums and make faces letting everyone know that your teams has let you down, even though this may be the most talented offense you’ve ever played with. You suck.
Derek – Chicago. Besides Rivers would anyone else draft any of the above players in the first 5 rounds? Didn't think so. Anyway I think the Bears are one of the hotter teams in the league right now and don't be surprised if they make some noise come playoff time.

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